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Article Archive: World

The overvalued dollar
06/22/25   World
"The US dollar remains historically overvalued, even after its recent reversal. Structural factors, cyclical trends, and shifting macroeconomic risks all point toward the potential for further declines in the coming years. Investors with underweight to international equities either due to home country, or recency, bias might want to reconsider that underweight."

No longer a serious country
06/08/25   World
"Imagine yourself as a foreigner considering investing in the United States. You may well know that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contains a 'revenge' provision that would allow the U.S. government to impose extra taxes on foreign investors whose home countries have policies America doesn't like. You probably know that one of Trump's advisers has suggested the forced conversion of short-term debt into century bonds. Once upon a time everyone would have dismissed these things as stuff that couldn't happen in America. Now? Who knows?"

Is South Korea the next Japan?
06/02/25   World
"South Korea's equity market looks like an exaggerated version of the Japanese stock market. Japan has a massive pool of companies trading at below 1x price-to-book, but South Korea has an even larger share. And while Japan is famous for its “lost decades,” the Japanese market has taken a sharp upward turn, while the South Korean market continues to languish."

No exception
04/27/25   World
"While it may be hard to remember, there have been multi-year periods when international stocks have outperformed the U.S. market. In fact, a chart of domestic vs. international stocks looks a little like a sine wave, with performance alternating over time. For that reason, I continue to recommend an allocation to international stocks."

Germans are reluctant to invest in stocks
04/27/25   World
"But one result stood out to me in this qualitative research. During the interviews, when people were asked why they didn't invest in equities, they often said (one in three respondents) that equities were too risky. But by far the most common reason why people wouldn't invest in stocks (about half of all respondents) is that they thought it is too expensive and too tedious to set up a stock or fund portfolio."

War on the world
04/04/25   World
"Dr. Rob Shapiro talks about Trump's trade war on the world." [video]

Back to the bronze age
04/04/25   World
"Advanced economies, even those, such as Germany, with large trade surpluses, have seen a steadily declining factory share. Advanced economies do better focusing on higher-value jobs such as AI, and on the requisite education for their workers, not on repressing their strengths in a futile effort to return to a proto-Bronze Age. Moreover, manufacturers are customers for a large share of US imports, thus the Trump tariffs punish the sectors he imagines he is helping."

Mad King Trump
03/30/25   World
"They expected a replay of the laissez-faire policies of Trump's first term - a lot of bombastic rhetoric but few real policy changes and a lot of small, quiet deregulatory moves. Instead, they got a very different Trump this time - one who's intent on breaking the American economy in the service of ideology."

UBS Yearbook 2025
03/10/25   World
"With rising market concentration, the latest Global Investment Returns Yearbook reappraises the importance of diversification across asset classes to reduce portfolio risk."

Valuations reflect exceptionalism
03/10/25   World
"US exceptionalism provided the same explanation for the outperformance of US stocks in the 1990s. However, that regime changed. From 2000-2007, while the S&P 500 Index returned just 1.9% per annum (underperforming riskless one-month Treasury bills by 1.3% per annum), the MSCI EAFE Index returned 5.6% per annum, and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index returned 15.3% per annum."

When are tariffs good?
02/10/25   World
"Tariffs help domestic manufacturers by protecting them from foreign competition, but they hurt them by driving up the cost of their imported components. This is one of the two big problems with tariffs - the other one being that they drive up consumer prices.But does this mean tariffs are always bad?"

Tariffs on Canada and Mexico are bad news
02/02/25   World
"it's certainly America's dumbest trade war in living memory. There's really no upside for the country here - it's not going to help domestic manufacturing, it's not going to make Americans better off, it's not going to materially affect the fentanyl problem, and on top of all the economic risks it's going to piss off U.S. allies and make America look terrible. I still hold out hope that the tariffs will be quickly revoked after some sort of symbolic concessions. But if not, then we'll know that we've left the era where Trump just blustered and preened, and entered a more frightening era where he starts lashing out and breaking things."

Trump gone soft
02/02/25   World
"Trump is imposing destructive (and self-destructive) tariffs on an ally that has done nothing wrong, while handling a rival and potential enemy with kid gloves. It is hard to believe that sheer stupidity - although there's plenty of that going on - can explain it."

Shameless robber barons
02/01/25   World
"If swindling pays, then it will not stop. The definition of the good society is one in which virtue pays. I can now add a slight variation to this; you cannot have a good society unless virtue pays."

International stocks
02/01/25   World
"This is why some have argued that U.S. stocks are experiencing DotCom Bubble 2.0. The euphoria surrounding AI today parallels that of internet companies in the late 1990s. While I see the similarities, the difference is that the earnings are much bigger this time."

Explaining international valuations
01/27/25   World
"Were a larger percentage of the valuation gap explained by fundamentals, we'd expect such a gap to persist. But given that the valuation gap is primarily explained simply by the location of listing, we think there's a strong reason to expect a convergence - and therefore to favor international over US-listed stocks, despite their terrible relative performance over the past decade."

Stuck at home
11/24/24   World
"The anti-foreign-stock drumbeat has grown louder with each additional year that international markets underperform U.S. shares. Indeed, even though foreign stocks beat U.S. shares in the 1970s, 1980s and 2000s, there are folks today who argue there's no reason to own foreign shares."

Misleading indicators
11/24/24   World
"Horstmeyer looked at 34 markets from around the world and examined the relationship between investment returns and GDP growth. What he found was that the relationship was nearly inverse"

Cheap water
11/18/24   World
"The point is not to claim that all the Sahara could receive cheap desalinated water, but rather that technology is already at a point where we could start building cities in the Sahara if we wanted to."

Fooled by randomness
11/03/24   World
"In economics, finance, politics, and most social sciences we create models with an error term and then conveniently ignore the error term as 'noise'. But nobody is ever taught how to interpret noise even though the noise part is arguably at least as important as the assumed signal."

The magic of low cost energy
10/26/24   World
"The western US is a parched opportunity to create millions of acres of prime land for the next billion Americans to live on. Only one ingredient is missing - water."

Underwater overseas
10/06/24   World
"But in the data we have, there's a clear pattern of U.S. and international stocks taking turns as the better performer. On a chart, their relative results look a bit like a sine wave, oscillating back and forth. International stocks saw periods of outperformance in the mid-1970s, the mid-80s and the mid-90s."

The great rotation 2
09/28/24   World
"When the United States last exceeded 60% of global market capitalization in the 1960s, the US economy accounted for 40% of global GDP. Today, the US is similarly overrepresented in global market capitalization, but it only accounts for 26% of global GDP."

Solar's extraordinary growth
09/23/24   World
"Combined solar-plus-storage energy projects are already cheaper than new fossil fuel power plants in many parts of the world, and costs are poised to fall further."

Japan's stealth profit boom
04/28/24   World
"Today, roughly half of the Japanese companies have net cash balances, and almost none of their EBIT goes to interest there. By contrast, the lion's share of US 500 companies owe the banks money, and almost 15% of EBIT goes to lenders in America. Corporate Japan looks quite different today than it did a couple of decades ago, and we believe this has contributed to the bottom line. The magnitude of the financial statement impact of this transition for shareholders is roughly equivalent to eliminating headline corporate taxation entirely."

Rule, Britannia
03/03/24   World
"We think a long-term bet on upward mean reversion for Europe should also include a cap-weighted allocation to the UK because discounts are greater in Britain. UK stocks represent around 24% of aggregate tickers in the combined investment opportunity sets of the UK and Europe."

The right level of inflation
02/03/24   World
"once inflation surpasses 1%, views change quite quickly. The share of people who think inflation is too high and would better be lower starts to rise quickly, while the share of people who think inflation would be just right drops fast. This indicates that any change in the inflation target will likely trigger a significant public debate and will not be easy to communicate to the public."

Adding China?
01/21/24   World
"To the extent that your portfolio is diversified internationally, it's important to keep an eye on developments elsewhere. At the top of the list: China, which is now the world's second-largest economy."

Demographics are not the problem
10/29/23   World
"Many people (including me a few years ago) assumed that as Japan got older the Japanese would continue to stop working at the same age. But that doesn't seem to have been the case, and thus the number of available bodies in Japan has risen much more than expected. That reflects both better health and less strenuous jobs."

Shorting socialism
10/29/23   World
"Our research into the market experience of recent Latin American regimes seems to support the broader research on democratic norms, private property rights, and resulting market returns for countries that kept their distance from collective ownership whether via vote or vanguard. We continue to believe that investors trying to discern where to invest their capital over the decades should significantly discount markets that seem prone to policies advancing objectives that are mutually incompatible with those of capitalism."

The China model
09/16/23   World
"The Peking University professor Zhang Dandan recently estimated that the unemployment rate among youth ages 16 to 24 could be close to 50 percent, more than twice the official figure."

Japan in demand
08/07/23   World
"On the corporate front, buybacks are set to hit a second consecutive record-setting year in Japan, and dividend yields in deep-value Japanese stocks reached parity with the rest of the developed markets for the first time in 20 years this last year. With these developments already in the works, it's not too surprising to see global asset allocators run out of tangible reasons for the continued dramatic underweight on Japanese equities."

The depopulation bomb
06/25/23   World
"Stephen J. Shaw, data scientist and demographer, talks about the global decline in birth rates" [video]

U.S. investors underestimate risk
05/14/23   World
"The tendency to invest in domestic stocks may appear safer to Americans than the risk experienced by global stock investors. While it is important to use expected returns as the primary input in a financial plan, advisors should be aware that the possibility of extreme losses that could derail a plan isn't limited to the worst-case scenarios experienced only by U.S. investors."

European value
04/08/23   World
"the European market is effectively a large value index today, as it trades at 13x Price/Earnings, which is cheaper than the US large value index at 14x Price/Earnings"

Dan Wang on China
03/05/23   World
"What I did not sufficiently appreciate is that a state that would so casually decapitate a sector like online tutoring would also have the will to visit catastrophe upon whole cities. And fear of those moves is wearing on people. I perceive a fading sense of enthusiasm among businesspeople and youths."

The build-nothing country
03/05/23   World
"Ever day, new examples of this stasis pile up. In Berkeley, a plan to build student housing was just blocked by a court, which demanded that the university study whether students themselves constitute an environmental hazard. I wish I were kidding, but I'm not."

Sudden Stops
12/11/22   World
"South Korea screens as the most vulnerable country, due primarily to high levels of domestic credit (165% of GDP) as well as capital inflows measuring 5.7% of GDP. We estimate the probability of South Korea experiencing a crisis in the next quarter as 3.55%."

Democracy is good for returns
08/27/22   World
"Lei and Wisniewski's findings suggest that because stock investments in more autocratic countries have provided lower returns with higher volatility and have been accompanied by expropriation risk, investors should underweight these countries in their portfolios. Investors wishing to minimise expropriation risk should consider screening out autocracies from their portfolios, or at least minimise exposure to them."

Who owns sovereign debt
07/10/22   World
"The researchers found that during recessions foreign non-bank investors and domestic banks dramatically reduce their holdings."

Floodgate
06/17/22   World
"will the Fed have to hike rates far enough to cause a recession? The most probable answer now is yes, absolutely. Ben Bernanke in his 1997 paper showed that central banks tragically capitulate to fighting energy-driven inflationary episodes, only to learn later that hiking rates into such events roughly doubles the effect of tightening because higher oil prices eventually act like a tightening on their own."

Commonness of divorce in America
06/12/22   World
"Out of people who married at least once, the percentage of people who were married more than once or divorced approaches 50 percent as you get to age 60. But mortality appears to take precedence after that."

Deep roots
04/03/22   World
"Innovation in particular is hard to envision if you think of it happening all at once. When you think of it as tiny increments, where current innovations have roots planted decades ago, it's more believable - and the range of possible outcomes of what we might be achievable explodes."

Tyler Cowen on economic growth
03/27/22   World
"He visits the podcast to discuss the moral argument for high economic growth and discusses the relationship between growth and issues like general happiness, geopolitics, and the transition to a society with net zero carbon emissions." [video]

Crisis in Turkey
03/13/22   World
"We differentiated between two types of crises: global ones, defined as a 50% drawdown in emerging markets that happen in parallel with a 20% drawdown of the S&P 500, and idiosyncratic ones, where only the local market has drawn down. Our research suggests that value stocks are strong return generators in global crises, but US dollar-denominated government bonds are a more reliable bet in idiosyncratic crises."

Will the optimists triumph yet again?
03/06/22   World
"Despite the wars, depressions, and sicknesses of the last 100 years, we somehow pulled through. The optimists triumphed. As we face similar challenges in the days and years ahead, the question is: will the optimists triumph yet again?"

Surprise, shock, and uncertainty
03/06/22   World
"The world breaks every decade or so. There are so few exceptions to this it's astounding."

CS Yearbook 2022
02/26/22   World
"This is an extract of the Yearbook 2022, produced in collaboration with the CSRI by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton. This year's edition focuses on diversification as a special topic and offers an extended dataset by adding three new markets." [pdf]

Japan's empire builders
01/22/22   World
"There may be a lot we can learn from the curious case of Japan's empire builders. Japanese companies both do far less M&A than US firms and seem to have had better results from the deals they do. Yet strangely, it is American consultants, bankers, and lawyers who believe their methods of doing business are superior, not the other way around."

The same stories, again
11/06/21   World
"No one knows how they'll respond to risk and setback until they're in the moment of terror."

A meta supply chain
11/06/21   World
"Oil prices continue to soar, but natural gas prices in Europe and Asia are the near term concern for the global economy and equity markets."

Buying cheap assets
09/12/21   World
"Robert Arnott will discuss why he believes this long era of U.S. large-cap growth dominance could be coming to an end and what could take its place." [video]

Turning Japanese
07/25/21   World
"Demographers now predict that by the latter half of the century or possibly earlier, the global population will enter a sustained decline for the first time."

In defense of global stocks
07/19/21   World
"As you can see, most global stock markets would have increased your wealth most of the time. The primary exceptions to this are Spain in the 1970s, Japan in the mid-1980s to mid-1990s, and a handful of countries in 1999 and after the year 2000. The worst performing market in the group is clearly Greece, which destroyed wealth at a rapid clip starting in the early 2000s onward."

Following Japan
05/16/21   World
"Obviously, this is not some romantic version of being active and productive in old age. Most of the time, older Japanese have to go back to work in some minimum wage jobs just to make ends meet."

Weighting on China
05/16/21   World
"Our conclusion is that, compared to Japanese public equities today, Chinese public equities are not technically public or equitable to the extent we can measure. They are massively more expensive and are probably subordinated to much more dubious lending practices than the government-approved ratings agencies would let on, according to S&P's mathematical standards. But we must admit that the trailing and one year forward growth is red-hot in the market that's marked-to-Marxist."

Money printing and inflation
04/25/21   World
"Intuitively, inflation should follow the money supply. The more money that circulates in an economy, the more demand for products and services, which should lead to higher prices. However, the economy consists of many interrelated variables and linear models frequently fail to represent reality."

The economic recovery in Japan
03/21/21   World
"Despite one quarter of value outpacing growth, LTM EBIT margins are still 52% below their 2018 peak. Because of this, upward pressure on stock prices should depend very little on multiple expansion. Simply getting back to 2018 operating income is a ~100% return if these value stocks can hold their current multiples."

The great forgetting
02/14/21   World
"Perhaps the most firmly established proposition in late 20th century macroeconomics is that the Great Inflation of 1966-81 was caused by central banks printing too much money. If that proposition is wrong, then I might just as well give up. Everything else I believe about macro hinges on that being true. If the Great Inflation wasn't caused by too much money, then what can macroeconomics tell us about the world?"

Emerging markets crisis investing
02/14/21   World
"Verdadcap's 55-page study of emerging market crises." [Book]

Stagnating growth
01/17/21   World
"Recently released Census Bureau population estimates show that from July 1, 2019 to July 1, 2020, the nation grew by just 0.35%. This is the lowest annual growth rate since at least 1900."

Children can't live here anymore
01/10/21   World
"The consistent policy of the US since the 1930s is to make life harder for successive generations. The unique and unusual growth post-WWII hid that, but declining growth is laying that bare now. Social Security was a very sweet deal then for old folks that has become a very sour deal now for young folks. Defined benefits plans are a thing of the past, replaced by modest encouragements to personal savings using defined contribution plans. And now we see the same in monetary policy, where suppressed interest rates relatively favor those who are older. And, increased indebtedness slows future GDP growth."

Locking it in
11/14/20   World
"Regardless of how long the current downturn lasts, we believe current oil prices are unsustainable as they trade below the breakeven price of most major producers."

The Global Market Portfolio
11/08/20   World
"The global market portfolio realizes an average compounded real return of 4.45%, with a standard deviation of annual returns of 11.2% from 1960 until 2017, gross of trading costs, taxes, and/or management fees."

Emerging concerns
11/08/20   World
"While the U.S. isn't perfect, many emerging markets countries have policies that should give investors pause. Some have authoritarian regimes. Others exhibit little respect for intellectual property and have shown a willingness to confiscate or nationalize businesses. Corporate governance and accounting rules are more lax."

Hidden world of failure
10/24/20   World
"This hidden world of failure helps to create a deeply flawed understanding of the universe. By not seeing failure, we misunderstand the elements of success."

Overnight tragedies
10/24/20   World
"An important thing that explains a lot of things is that good news takes time but bad news happens instantly."

Canned tuna got canned
08/22/20   World
"Price fixing is absolutely wrong, especially for a product that people depend on. That's the difference between them eating dinner and not eating dinner. That's canned tuna. We're not talking about bluefin toro that's served at Nobu."

U.S. stocks vs. world GDP
08/16/20   World
"With the stunning rise in big American tech stocks, the U.S. portion of this global equity market capitalization is nearing all-time highs. While there isn't necessarily a connection between stock values and economic output, it is a way to estimate sentiment and valuations."

The tab for the free lunch
08/14/20   World
"Today the tab for the free lunch has expanded well beyond the saver. The action of central banks committing to bail out capital markets on such a scale has stemmed market dysfunction but at the consequence of artificially shoring up asset prices, usurping the role of markets in pricing risk. New Age thinking of the sort currently proposed is on the cusp of a political takeover of the economy."

Fertility rate
07/18/20   World
"Researchers at the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation showed the global fertility rate nearly halved to 2.4 in 2017 - and their study, published in the Lancet, projects it will fall below 1.7 by 2100."

Do civilisations collapse
06/06/20   World
"The idea that the Maya or Easter Islanders experienced an apocalyptic end makes for good television but bad archaeology"

The Simon Abundance Index 2020
05/03/20   World
"The Earth was 570.9 percent more abundant in 2019 than it was in 1980."

Assessing the oil shock
03/15/20   World
"if we look beyond these short-term jitters, a supply shock like the one we witness at the moment should only be short-lived in nature. Russia will eventually have to fall in line with OPEC quotas at which point, oil prices should rise to the levels we saw last week. In the meantime, the lower oil prices will provide a small benefit to economic growth in developed countries that helps alleviate some of the negative consequences of the Covid-19 epidemic."

What a time to be alive
01/03/20   World
"The difference between an optimist and a pessimist isn't usually over substance. It's the time frame they're looking at. Problems are easier to spot today, but progress is almost always more powerful over time."

The best decade in human history
12/27/19   World
"Let nobody tell you that the second decade of the 21st century has been a bad time. We are living through the greatest improvement in human living standards in history. Extreme poverty has fallen below 10 per cent of the world's population for the first time. It was 60 per cent when I was born. Global inequality has been plunging as Africa and Asia experience faster economic growth than Europe and North America; child mortality has fallen to record low levels; famine virtually went extinct; malaria, polio and heart disease are all in decline."

Talk about nuclear
07/07/19   World
"Serious people are finally talking about decarbonizing national economies by mid-century, but such talk must be accompanied by credible plans - and no plan can be considered credible if it does not deal explicitly with nuclear power."

Cheap vs expensive countries
05/27/19   World
"An alternative to selecting single stocks is to focus on entire countries and rank these as cheap or expensive. The rationale for abnormal returns from buying cheap stocks should apply on country level as well. From the perspective of a current Value portfolio, this might result in replacing the shares of Deutsche Bank with indices for Greece or Portugal, which are two countries that have been trading cheaply in recent years given structural problems in their economies."

China, leverage, and values
05/27/19   World
"The truth is that the U.S. China relationship has been extremely one-sided for a very long time now: China buys the hardware it needs, and keeps all of the software opportunities for itself - and, of course, pursues software opportunities abroad. At the same time, U.S. acquiescence to this state of affairs has denied China the necessary motivation to actually make the investments necessary to replace U.S. hardware completely, leading to this specific moment in time."

What is the heck is going on
03/11/19   World
"The striking parallels between commerce, education, and politics isn't a coincidence. In fact, it's inevitable. In the past decade, the information environment has inverted from information scarcity to information abundance, and the effects are evident in every corner of society."

Bill Gates on Energy
03/04/19   World
Bill goes nuclear on energy. [video]

What else matters
02/25/19   World
"All economic growth is just population growth plus productivity growth. Half of that equation turns ugly over the next 30 years in a way it wasn't over the last 30 years. Or 50. Or 200."

The world is shrinking
02/13/19   World
"Dire predictions about an impending overpopulation crisis have loomed large in the human imagination for centuries. Darrel Bricker and John Ibbitson co-authors of, 'Empty Planet: The Shock of Global Population Decline,' say these predictions have been greatly exaggerated. In fact, the global population is on the decline." [video]

Venezuela is a socialist catastrophe
01/28/19   World
"In the meantime, the larger lesson of Venezuela's catastrophe should be learned. Twenty years of socialism, cheered by Corbyn, Klein, Chomsky and Co., led to the ruin of a nation. They may not be much embarrassed, much less personally harmed, by what they helped do. It's for the rest of us to take care that it never be done to us."

What I learned at work this year
01/01/19   World
"Global emissions of greenhouse gases went up in 2018. For me, that just reinforces the fact that the only way to prevent the worst climate-change scenarios is to get some breakthroughs in clean energy."

Factfulness
12/17/18   World
"let's clear up some false impressions of the world around us - that 'everything is getting worse.' If you don't think this belief is widespread, let me give you the results of a quiz designed by Mr. Rosling."

A fifth of China's homes are empty
11/12/18   World
"Soon-to-be-published research will show roughly 22 percent of China's urban housing stock is unoccupied, according to Professor Gan Li, who runs the main nationwide study. That adds up to more than 50 million empty homes, he said."

Won in translation
11/01/18   World
"We visited a few times and fell in love, particularly with the city of Granada. The next logical step: determining if we could swing it financially."

The curious case for emerging markets
09/24/18   World
"Since the inception of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index in 1988 through August of this year, EM returned 10.84% annualized while the S&P 500 returned 10.80%. Despite the eerily similar gains, a blend of the two, rebalanced annually, would have yielded better results."

P/E 10 works better in some markets
09/24/18   World
"the more domestically-concentrated a given market is, the less the explanatory power of its P/E 10"

What's killing rural Canada
08/28/18   World
"Crime, opioid abuse, boarded-up businesses and fleeing populations are destroying the country's heartland."

Dematerialization
05/22/18   World
"Humans want more and more all the time, which seems like bad news. Aren't we going to use up all the natural resources and pollute the Earth as we keep growing? MIT scientist, Andrew McAfee, advocates that the answer is actually 'no.' Evidence from America shows that, amazingly enough, we are now dematerializing: using fewer resources year after year and treading more lightly on the planet." [video]

Venezuela crumbles
08/28/17   World
"In 2001 Venezuela was the richest country in South America; it is now among the poorest."

Gray Rhinos threaten China
07/23/17   World
"Let the West worry about so-called black swans, rare and unexpected events that can upset financial markets. China is more concerned about 'gray rhinos' - large and visible problems in the economy that are ignored until they start moving fast."

Venezuela leaps towards dictatorship
04/02/17   World
"The regime is in desperate need of the money that such ventures bring. Although Venezuela has the world's largest proven reserves of oil, the socialists have mismanaged the economy so badly that people struggle to buy food and hospitals are bare of medicines."

Big Mac index
01/15/17   World
"In Big Mac terms, the Mexican peso is undervalued by a whacking 55.9% against the greenback. This week it also plumbed a record low as Mr Trump reiterated some of his campaign threats against Mexico. The peso has lost a tenth of its value against the dollar since November. Of big countries, only Russia offers a cheaper Big Mac, in dollar terms, even though the rouble has strengthened over the past year."

The anonymous billionaire
12/24/16   World
"Luiz Alves Paes de Barros is something of an enigma in Sao Paulo's financial circles. At 69, he's known around town as the 'anonymous billionaire' for quietly amassing a fortune by wagering on stocks almost no one else seemed to want."

The ace of spades
12/17/16   World
"On his wall, Eric has a framed Cuban cigar, he starts his story by explaining the significance of that cigar."

Canada's innovation problem
12/11/16   World
"Why do we export so many world-class business ideas to the rest of the world?"

Venezuela, a failing state
11/27/16   World
How Venezuela imploded
10/29/16   World
Howard Marks on Brexit
06/25/16   World
Trump, trade and the China shock
04/03/16   World
Economic world history
10/24/15   World
Zombie factories
08/30/15   World
Hyperinflation in Venezuela
08/26/15   World
How silver wrecked China
08/26/15   World
Goodbye to all that
08/22/15   World
China's long Minsky moment
08/16/15   World
Burger benchmark finds greenback too dear
07/18/15   World
Could China be the next Japan?
07/18/15   World
China crash bigger than subprime
07/18/15   World
Successful Austerians
07/18/15   World
Poorer than Greece
07/12/15   World
Greece's culture of victimhood
07/12/15   World
Germans call for Greece to leave
07/05/15   World
China's stockmarket crash
07/05/15   World
Why the Greek bailout failed
07/05/15   World
Greece lost the public relations battle
07/04/15   World
Tsipras's wild promises
07/04/15   World
Greece closes banks
06/28/15   World
Close to the threshold
06/27/15   World
Bruce Greenwald on the great recession
06/13/15   World
Risky bet on Greece
06/10/15   World
Greece saunters across the autobahn
05/07/15   World
On the Gredge
04/23/15   World
Austerity is not Greece's Problem
03/07/15   World
What now for Greece?
01/25/15   World
Venezuela should be rich
01/24/15   World
The spectre of a Grexit
01/12/15   World
Harsh debt dynamics
12/21/14   World
Canada finds oil route around Obama
10/11/14   World
The great Chinese exodus
08/24/14   World
Russian history is on our side
05/25/14   World
The slaves of Eritrea
05/10/14   World
Keystone's frustrator-in-chief
04/27/14   World
Global solar dominance in sight
04/12/14   World
China's steelmakers into shadow banking
04/12/14   World
Slice of life
03/15/14   World
Bill Gates interview
03/15/14   World
The Big Mac index
01/26/14   World
How did Zimbabwe become so poor
01/12/14   World
Paul Krugman's blind spot
11/17/13   World
America has changed the way it measures GDP
08/04/13   World
Why Buffett bailed on India
07/28/13   World
Slow ideas
07/28/13   World
Chinese stocks earn 1% per year
07/14/13   World
Mind the expectations gap
07/06/13   World
Lottery raided
07/06/13   World
The toilet paper revolution
05/19/13   World
Will Portugal be the first one out?
04/14/13   World
Why Canada can avoid banking crises
04/10/13   World
Housing and the never-ending recession
04/07/13   World
Cyprus details heavy losses for bank customers
03/30/13   World
Cyprus said to reach deal
03/24/13   World
Unfair, short-sighted and self-defeating
03/16/13   World
Levy on bank deposits
03/16/13   World
Hugo Chavez: Good timing, not good leadership
03/10/13   World
Chavez was bad for Venezuela
03/08/13   World
Fewer, richer, greener
01/20/13   World
National balance sheets
01/19/13   World
Hey, small spender
10/06/12   World
Hayek on the standing committee
09/22/12   World
Krugman's Baltic problem
09/22/12   World
A conversation with Ray Dalio
09/14/12   World
The weatherman is not a moron
09/08/12   World
China's growing economic crisis
08/31/12   World
Apocalypse not
08/18/12   World
Looking at China's problems
08/12/12   World
A Greek story
07/28/12   World
Ideologue vs. Estonia
07/21/12   World
10 reasons countries fall apart
06/30/12   World
Sand in the gears
06/27/12   World
A glimmer of hope?
06/18/12   World
Euro explosion
06/17/12   World
Europe really is on the brink
06/12/12   World
Exhausting the Earth's resources?
06/09/12   World
Turning slumdogs into millionaires
06/07/12   World
Euro breakup precedent
06/07/12   World
A contrarian moment
06/01/12   World
Austerity and debt realism
06/01/12   World
A run they cannot stop
05/28/12   World
Leaving the Euro
05/16/12   World
The crazy way Europe measures inflation
05/16/12   World
What price a slowing population?
05/16/12   World
Lessons of the recession
05/03/12   World
Price controls in action
04/30/12   World
Richard Koo presentation
04/14/12   World
Greece: same old high yields
03/17/12   World
The end of Asia's demographic dividend
03/17/12   World
Goodnight Sunshine
02/20/12   World
Wodehouse's lead pipe
12/19/11   World
China local debts dwarf official data
12/19/11   World
Chavez rolls back seizures
12/17/11   World
China's hard landing
12/04/11   World
Is this really the end?
11/26/11   World
China's vanishing factory bosses
11/05/11   World
Bill Gates changes the world again
11/03/11   World
Irish see opportunity
10/27/11   World
The euro deal
10/27/11   World
Michael Pettis talks China
10/24/11   World
Why China won't conquer the world
10/13/11   World
California and bust
09/30/11   World
Ireland recovers as Greece sinks
09/21/11   World
Fewer
08/22/11   World
Generation Fd
08/13/11   World
It's the economy, dummkopf!
08/10/11   World
Once Greece goes...
07/09/11   World
Fear and loathing in the Eurozone
07/04/11   World
Beware China's political bubble
06/19/11   World
Is Sino-Forest a Sino-Fraud?
06/13/11   World
Shale boom in oil
05/28/11   World
Fair-trade coffee fix
05/15/11   World
Fantastic pieces of journalism
05/14/11   World
More denial
05/11/11   World
Three cheers for the cheapeners
05/09/11   World
Will Canada be going Dutch?
04/18/11   World
Property bubble hits the grave
04/09/11   World
Stepping on the Gas
04/02/11   World
Is ethanol to blame for global unrest
03/29/11   World
The Canada bubble
03/18/11   World
Made in America
03/08/11   World
The Myth of Japan's 'Lost Decades'
02/28/11   World
When Irish Eyes Are Crying
02/02/11   World
Lies, flame-grilled lies and statistics
01/28/11   World
China is a bubble close to bursting
01/23/11   World
Coming in from the cold
12/19/10   World
Toronto a city of socioeconomic extremes
12/19/10   World
China's credit bubble
12/07/10   World
200 Countries, 200 Years, 4 Minutes
12/05/10   World
The slaying of the Celtic Tiger
11/14/10   World
Cultures of Impunity
11/10/10   World
Ireland is effectively insolvent
11/09/10   World
The Man Who Saved the Whales
11/06/10   World
More from less for more
10/28/10   World
Secret Past of Chinese Stocks
10/23/10   World
The Future of Fish
10/23/10   World
Ridley and the rational optimist
10/21/10   World
Spain's Solar on Edge of Bankruptcy
10/19/10   World
How Fake Money Saved Brazil
10/05/10   World
A Greek Bankruptcy Is Unavoidable
10/05/10   World
China Metal Monopoly
09/30/10   World
Beware of Greeks bearing bonds
09/07/10   World
Britain reels as austerity begins
08/23/10   World
Is giving bad!?
08/08/10   World
Tracing oil reserves
08/04/10   World
Small reactors?
07/22/10   World
Down with doom
07/07/10   World
The Andy Grove essay
07/04/10   World
The fog of war
06/22/10   World
Paid not to marry
06/21/10   World
Canada key to trade
06/18/10   World
The coal age continues
06/18/10   World
The $600 billion challenge
06/16/10   World
How to destroy an industry
06/15/10   World
The strange survival of ink
06/13/10   World
A gambling man
06/13/10   World
A breakthrough in China
06/13/10   World
Red tape hamstrings Greek growth
05/29/10   World
Easy money, hard truths
05/27/10   World
Shale gas
05/25/10   World
How will Greece get off the dole?
05/23/10   World
The very bad luck of the Irish
05/20/10   World
Rogoff criticizes debt strategies
05/19/10   World
Malcolm Gladwell keynote address
05/17/10   World
The difficult choices facing Europe
05/16/10   World
The case for doom and gloom
05/12/10   World
The Goldilocks recovery
05/09/10   World
The future of public debt
05/08/10   World
Europe finds the old rules still apply
05/06/10   World
Greek wealth and taxes
05/02/10   World
The arithmetic of bank solvency
04/29/10   World
The X PRIZE and Risk
04/28/10   World
The party's over
04/25/10   World
James Chanos interview
04/15/10   World
Time to rebalance
04/04/10   World
An unconventional glut
03/17/10   World
Is China actually bankrupt?
03/12/10   World
The Greek debt bubble
03/12/10   World
Canada's marvelous mortgage system
02/26/10   World
Dubai 1,000 Times
02/22/10   World
Greek tax-dodgers
02/16/10   World
Greece's Goldman Sachs swaps
02/16/10   World
Greece: our debt, your problem
02/16/10   World
Short Canada
02/10/10   World
Japan fades into the future
02/10/10   World
Europe risks another depression
02/08/10   World
What Toronto can teach New York and London
02/01/10   World
A Greek bailout, and soon?
01/29/10   World
Oil windfalls and living standards
01/24/10   World
China's silicon ceiling
01/18/10   World
How America can rise again
01/18/10   World
In China, fear of a real estate bubble
01/12/10   World
Endless oil
01/09/10   World
Chavez devalues Bolivar 50%
01/09/10   World
The Iceland rebellion
01/07/10   World
Crash in China
01/07/10   World
Our white collar nation
01/05/10   World
Note to Kevin O'Leary
01/05/10   World
Fruitful decade for many in the world
01/03/10   World
Texas' banks hold lessons
12/29/09   World
A stock trade a day keeps stress away
12/14/09   World
An energy answer in the shale below?
12/03/09   World
Coal world
12/03/09   World
Dangers of an overheated China
11/29/09   World
A six thousand year-old bubble
11/13/09   World
U.S. is destroying manufacturing
11/12/09   World
Big-spending, high-taxing, lousy-services paradigm
11/10/09   World
Detroit: Urban Laboratory
11/10/09   World
The quiet death of the Kyoto protocol
11/06/09   World
What's killing California?
10/27/09   World
Hu versus Sarkozy
10/25/09   World
After Empire
10/02/09   World
The ghost fleet of the recession
09/13/09   World
The man who saved billions
09/13/09   World
Peak oil as a behavioral problem
09/10/09   World
Mixing solar with coal
09/04/09   World
The growth illusion
09/03/09   World
Our big chance
08/27/09   World
'Peak oil' is a waste of energy
08/25/09   World
It's still the one
08/24/09   World
Cruel windfall
08/08/09   World
Why Japan isn't rising
08/06/09   World
The rule of law and the wealth of nations
08/01/09   World
Fiscal ruin of the Western world beckons
07/23/09   World
Think again: Asia's rise
07/05/09   World
A tale of two depressions
06/24/09   World
The story of 9 failed currencies
06/18/09   World
Buy an S.U.V., save the planet
06/02/09   World
Hasta la vista, forests. Wood is the new coal
06/02/09   World
Great Right North
05/25/09   World
The great ethanol scam
05/25/09   World
Renewable energy - our downfall?
05/25/09   World
Argentina: The superpower that never was
05/25/09   World
Energy myths and realities
05/16/09   World
What if global-warming fears are overblown?
05/14/09   World
Getting real on wind and solar
04/24/09   World
The incredible shrinking economy
04/02/09   World
How Zimbabwe slew hyperinflation
03/23/09   World
Argentina downgraded
03/23/09   World
Wall Street on the tundra
03/03/09   World
California's meltdown
02/21/09   World
How California became France
02/21/09   World
For Japan, a long, slow slide
02/17/09   World
Do you have a crush on Canada?
02/11/09   World
Worthwhile Canadian initiative
02/11/09   World
Fish shares and sharing fish
02/05/09   World
IBM to move laid off workers to India
02/03/09   World
Hugo crawls back
01/16/09   World
Marbella's billionaire spent bribes
01/07/09   World
Trickledown meltdown
12/28/08   World
The great unraveling
12/17/08   World
Suddenly vulnerable
12/13/08   World
Imbalances threaten survival of liberal trade
12/07/08   World
Are we watching the death of OPEC?
12/03/08   World
The next crisis -- Africa
11/20/08   World
A sea of unwanted imports
11/20/08   World
An axis in need of oiling
10/23/08   World
Russia and the crisis
10/22/08   World
Why the ECB can't fix Europe
10/09/08   World
Iceland takes over Kaupthing
10/09/08   World
Stopping a financial crisis, the Swedish way
09/23/08   World
CEO murdered by mob of sacked Indian workers
09/23/08   World
Top-earning pirates
09/21/08   World
Russian emergency funding fails to halt stock rout
09/17/08   World
What your global neighbors are buying
09/08/08   World
The 65 mpg Ford the U.S. can't have
09/05/08   World
Clouds gather again over the Pampas
08/22/08   World
The key to happiness is freedom not income
08/19/08   World
The Big Mac index
07/27/08   World
European recession looms
07/15/08   World
How Canada stole the American Dream
06/28/08   World
The hidden costs of fuel subsidies
06/07/08   World
Why oil prices will tank
06/06/08   World
From communism to environmentalism
06/03/08   World
An old enemy rears its head
05/23/08   World
The question of global warming
05/22/08   World
Dead end for free trade
05/17/08   World
Malthus, the false prophet
05/14/08   World
The wonder fish
04/21/08   World
Hijacking the Hermitage Fund
04/07/08   World
Spanish property auction flop
04/04/08   World
The clean energy scam
03/30/08   World
Out of print
03/30/08   World
Shanghaied
11/22/07   World
Global warming delusions
10/18/07   World
Freedom, not climate, is at risk
06/15/07   World
Globalization erodes product safety
06/14/07   World
Crouching fraud, hidden losses
03/12/07   World
The global gusher
01/07/07   World
The reluctant briber
11/03/06   World
A tale of two factories
09/14/06   World
The billionaire prince who owns Canada's treasures
07/17/06   World
The case of the unpaid parking ticket
07/08/06   World
Bolton v Gore
06/22/06   World
The rich, the poor and the growing gap
06/18/06   World
How accurate are your pet pundits?
06/07/06   World
McCurrencies
05/27/06   World
Steady as she goes
05/09/06   World
A practical man
05/04/06   World
Power without responsibility
04/28/06   World
China's reality is both boom and gloom
04/19/06   World
The Hermit Kings
03/31/06   World
Gloom in France
02/07/06   World
Deep trouble
12/16/05   World
Europe's farm follies
12/09/05   World
Arab world, Iraq and al-Qaeda
11/30/05   World
Held hostage in China
10/28/05   World
The sun also rises
10/08/05   World
The Caribbean and sugar
09/27/05   World
The myth of China Inc
09/01/05   World
Oil and the global economy
08/27/05   World
For jihadist, read anarchist
08/18/05   World
Boom and bust at sea
08/18/05   World
After Fahd, Abdullah. But then?
08/06/05   World
China severs link to dollar
07/21/05   World
America's great sorting out
07/14/05   World
Japan's economy: more mountains to climb
07/14/05   World
The corporate savings glut
07/09/05   World
Outsourcing: Getting the measure of it
07/03/05   World
Fast food and strong currencies
06/10/05   World
Lula's mid-term blues
06/03/05   World
The frog and the ox
06/03/05   World
Will the walls come falling down?
04/21/05   World
Shaking up corporate Japan
03/23/05   World
Starkers
03/20/05   World
Global house prices: Still want to buy?
03/03/05   World
Where's my $58 million, Madame Wu?
02/01/05   World
First Chinese cars to hit U.S. shores
01/02/05   World
Meritocracy in America
01/02/05   World
Keeping in with niche market leaders
12/26/04   World
We are never prepared by what we expect
12/16/04   World
Flimsy foundations
12/12/04   World
Crash landing coming for China
11/28/04   World
Short haircuts all round
11/03/04   World
Close, but no cigar
11/03/04   World
Five key economic challenges for Bush
11/03/04   World
The wolf at the door
11/01/04   World
China misconceptions
10/26/04   World
Hudson's warmer bay
10/09/04   World
The dragon and the eagle
09/30/04   World
Kyoto a-go-go
09/30/04   World
Dead firms walking
09/24/04   World
Roadblocks to small business curb growth
09/14/04   World
The sun also sets
09/09/04   World
Safety matters
09/03/04   World
Consuming passions
08/22/04   World
For richer or for poorer?
08/09/04   World
Emerging markets, emerging risks
07/09/04   World
The fallacies of shrimp protectionism
06/29/04   World
Institutions as the cause of growth
06/24/04   World
Hair-raising
06/07/04   World
The march on Moscow
06/02/04   World
Food for thought
05/28/04   World
The bonds from Brazil
05/16/04   World
Citadels of dead capital
04/26/04   World
Eastward ho!
04/17/04   World
Behind the mask
03/19/04   World
Haier's purpose
03/18/04   World
Things you can drop on your foot
03/04/04   World
The hungry dragon
02/20/04   World
Wirtschaftsblunder
02/20/04   World
A renewed force in Asia
02/18/04   World
Dollar drinking in the Last Chance Saloon
02/17/04   World
Let the dollar drop
02/08/04   World
Sickness or symptom?
02/05/04   World
Put down that tool
01/09/04   World
Ditching the peace
01/02/04   World
A faded green
12/07/03   World
Scrapped
12/07/03   World
Ripples from a Japanese bank collapse
12/04/03   World
I'd buy that for a dollar (and two dimes)
12/01/03   World
Fed up with protectionism
11/22/03   World
The dragon binges
11/21/03   World
Sparks fly over steel
11/14/03   World
Playing different games
11/10/03   World
Vlad the impaler
10/31/03   World
The end of the Oil Age
10/24/03   World
Engine trouble
10/04/03   World
Voters can be such a nuisance
09/22/03   World
Ratings agencies see danger in yuan float
09/17/03   World
Tequila sunset in Cancun
09/15/03   World
WTO entry helps China pull it off
08/24/03   World
Different this time, maybe
08/23/03   World
Asia starts to gasp for energy
08/21/03   World
Lion cubs on a wire
08/18/03   World
The poor are the solution, not the problem
08/18/03   World
The promise of a blue revolution
08/10/03   World
Europe's population implosion
07/21/03   World
Darkness falls on Tokyo
07/18/03   World
Fear of floating
07/13/03   World
Germany's euro test
06/19/03   World
The perils of a weak dollar
05/28/03   World
Only the weak survive
05/20/03   World
Painful side-effects
05/02/03   World
Horror stories
03/15/03   World
BoJ takes gamble to avert financial crisis
09/25/02   World
Telecoms troubles
09/23/02   World
Japanese government bond auction fails
09/21/02   World
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